A Supporting Uncertainty Decision Making Processes based on Fusion of Audio – Vision Evidence

DOI : 10.17577/IJERTV3IS060893

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A Supporting Uncertainty Decision Making Processes based on Fusion of Audio – Vision Evidence

A. E. Amin

Department of Computer Science, Mansoura University, Mansoura 35516, Egypt

Abstract:-This paper presents a new method for decision making based on the fusion of audio-visual evidences. Evidences fusion is characterized that the decision will be more accurate and specific because it does not depend on one evidence's alone as in the probabilistic approach.

The decision-making process depends on decisional separation of conflict conditionally between contributions of several independent sources of information represented by audio and images.

In order to provide effective of evidence fusion, one must employ an analytical framework that can capture the uncertainty inherent in audio and visual data. In particular, feature extraction of audio and visual data results in propositions that inherently possess significant semantic ambiguity. An evidence fusion must be able to exploit the respective advantages of audio and visual data while mitigating their particular weaknesses.

Keywords: Evidence fusion, Evidence measures, decision making.

  1. INTRODUCTION

    Decision making DM is the study that identifying and choosing from a nonempty set of alternatives A

    and decision making under pure uncertainty[6]. In decision making under pure uncertainty, the decision-maker has no knowledge regarding any of the states of nature outcomes, and/or it is costly to obtain the needed information.

    In the environment of uncertainty, more than one type of event can take place and the decision maker is completely in dark regarding the event that is likely to take place. The decision maker is not in a position, even to assign the probabilities of happening of the events as shown in figure 1. In most decision whose outcomes depend on uncertain events are contain implicitly degree of belief. Belief function is used to determine degree of belief which can be defined as a function satisfying three axioms which can be viewed as a weakening of the Kolmogorov axioms that characterize probability functions [7]. The view of belief function as a generalization probability theory is quit different from a representation of a body of evidence [8].

    Evidence theory [9] has often been promoted as an alternative approach for fusion information when the hypotheses for Bayesian approach cannot be precisely stated.

    probabilities based on a given set of criteria C and

    preferences of the decision maker i.e.:

    DM

    f A, C

    f : A C A, A U ,A

    The outcomes of a DM process are determined by the decision making strategies selected by decision makers when a set of alternative decisions has been identified. There is a great variation of DM strategies developed in traditional decision as well as cognitive science, system science, management science, and economics. Decision making is one of the fundamental cognitive processes modeled in the layered reference model of the brain (LRMB) [1, 2]. Modeling for decision making involves two distinct parties one is the decision maker and the other is the model builder known as the analyst [3]. There are three most widely types of decision models that help to analyze depending on the amount and degree of knowledge namely decision making by buying information [4], decision making under risk [5]

    Contextual Evidence

    Best available research evidence

    Decision making

    Experiential evidence

    Environment and organizational context

    Fig. 1: Evidence based decision making environment

    The evidence alone is not enough to make the decision because its calculation method depends on randomized trials and other quantifiable methods. So evidence alone is considered an only one key component in the decision- making process but its have high probability of being affected by noisy data and lack of distinctiveness which contributes to the inability of decision maker in making the right decision.

    Fusion of evidence should actually be used to contribute to the decision by predicting the performance of the fused evidence and comparing it with the corresponding belief function of the best expert. In the recent literature [13] there has been a large amount of work devoted to the definition of new rules. For example, Dempster-Shafer

    f and Rare associated with some supporting evidence as f h, E and R , E respectively. An evidence argument is a pair h, E , where his a formula in and E e1 , e2 ,…, en is a set of formula in denoted by Eh. An element ei Ehrepresents

    an indivisible chunk of information serving as evidence called a focal element of the evidence for h. A focal

    element is an element of the power set to which a non-zero belief is assigned. It is possible

    1

    2 1 2

    that h, E , h, E f , such that E E . For

    theory [14] which based on belief functions [15] and combines different pieces of evidences into a single value

    every pair

    h, E :

    that approximates the probability of an event. And there are theoretical framework [16] is developed for combining multiple experts and the most usual classifiers combinations schemes, such as the product, sum, min, max and median rules.

    Subsequently, this paper is illustrated by implementing two well known audio and visual evidences. Typically, these evidences take into account a consensual evaluation of the sources by invalidating irrelevant sources of information on the basis of a majority decision. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: Section 2 basic notation. Section 3 proposed method. Section 4 experimental and results Finally, Section 5 concludes.

  2. BASIC NOTATION

General formula which represents the knowledge base is

  1. h K or h ; and

  2. E e1 , e2 ,…, en is a set of evidence for hsuch that ei e j for any i j .

    For every set of evidence E there are constituent members have a probability mass function denoted by

    mE,.: E 0,1 and satisfies the constraint:

    mE, e1 m(E, e2 ) … mE, en 1

    mE, 0 for all E

    K f , R where f represents facts and Ris

    inference engine that can reason about those facts. Each of

    1. Evidence Types:

      Evidence can be divided into four type's [17] namely consonant evidence, consistent evidence, arbitrary evidence, and disjoint evidence. As shown in figure 2 evidence types are represents as sets of elements of the

      frame of discernment for where there are non-zero basic probability assignments.

      B A C

      D C B A D

      1. Consonant evidence (b) Consistent evidence

        B A C A C

        D

        B D

        1. Disjoint evidence

        2. Arbitrary evidence

          Fig. 2. Four types of evidence

          Consonant evidence can be represented as nested structure of subsets, where smallest subset elements are included in the next larger subset. This can correspond to the situation where information is obtained over time that increasingly narrows or refines the size of the evidentiary set. While, consistent evidence means that there is at least one element that is common to all subsets. But arbitrary evidence corresponds to the situation where there is no element common to all subsets, though some subsets may have elements in common. Whereas disjoint evidence implies that any two subsets have no elements in common with any other subset.

    2. Evidenc Combining:

      Evidence combining can be stated in the context of information fusion. Depending on the type of information that is fused, the fusion scheme can be classified as sensor level, feature level, score level and decision level fusion.

      Feature level fusion refers to combining deferent feature

    3. Evidence measures:

      By applying evidence combination rules there are several evidence measures (EM) can be created. An evidence belief function (EBF) is a numerical reasoning method represents the evidence in the form of generalized probabilities [20]. EBF a problem is described all possible values of element in an environment and provides a way to represents the hesitation and ignorance. The elements of the environment are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. The exhaustive set of mutually exclusive elements is referred to as a frame of

      discernment denoted as . Let Bel be such EBF that

      represents belief in the propositions that correspond to the elements of 2 :

      Bel : 2 0,1

      A Bel Awith A 1

      A

      where, Bel

      A is the total belief committed to A.

      sets that are extracted from multiple biometric sources. When the feature sets are dependences a single resultant

      The counterpart of Bel is the plausibility measure pl :

      feature set can be calculated as a weighted average of the individual feature sets [18]. Whereas the feature sets are

      2 0,1

      with

      plA

      mB

      B A

      independents a single feature set form can be concatenated [19]. Concatenated feature set is demonstrating different properties of uncertainty about the evidence, generate different characterizations of the evidence as observed through the evidence they can obtain. The obtained evidence can be characterized by the basic probability assignments to the frame of discernment of evidence.

      The measure plAshall not be understood as a complement of Bel A. Only

      A | mA 0 Bel A plA

      has to be fulfilled.

      In addition to Bel and pl third evidence measure can be defined as commonality measure cmn[21]. With cmn : 2 0,1 and

      cnmA m(B)

      B A

      The complements to the measures Bel and pl are doubt and disbelief respectively. Doubt [22] can defined as complements to the plausibility measure it seems to make

      more sense to distinguish between doubt and disbelief. Lack of belief does not imply disbelief [23]. The disbelief of set A is the belief in the complement. There is

      Z

      Bel (A) 1 pl( A) plA 1 Bel A with

      Bel A plA

      The difference plA Bel A describes the uncertainty

      concerning the hypothesis A represented by the evidential interval as shown in figure 3.

      Y

      Bel(A) dout(A)

      B A A

      P(X,Y)

      pl(A) disBel(A)

      B

      0 1 X

      Uncertainty P(X,Y)

      0 X

      1

      Fig 3. measures of belief and plausibility and its complements

  3. PROPOSED METHOD

    The proposed method presents new method for improving decision making based on the decision function, which adjudicate in a decisional dispute conditionally to basic decisions provided by the several sources of information. As shown in figure 4, there are three subsections which introduce evidence representation, evidence fusion and decision making.

    1. Evidence representation:

      We consider there are two different sources for evidence

      Let 1 ,2 ,…,n be a frame of discernment of a decision making problem under consideration ndistinct elementsi ,i 1,2,…, n . Evidence belief mass function defined as a mapping from the power set of denoted by

      2 that must satisfy the two conditions. The first is mass of empty set which represent the impossible event is zero and the other is the mass of belief is normalized to one. An element is called focal element if and only if m 0 . Focal element represents a degree of belief attached to the proposition and to uncertainly

      namely image evidence EvIm and sound evidence Ev . Each of evidence detects a set of objects

      proposition, based on some evidence.

      Each normalized mass function mN .can represent by

      denoted

      by EvIm

      So

      im im im Im

      ev , ev ,…, ev for Ev

      and

      several function associated with belief function known as

      plausibility, commonality and disbelief. Plausibility

      function pl is the most important which represents the

      1 2

      n

      upper limits of uncertainty whereas the belief function

      1

      2

      n

      EvSo evso , evso ,…, evso for EvSo . All evidence

      bel

      that has been obtained from the classifier that gives information on the actual class of a test pattern. This information can be represented by a belief mass function

      m. after the presentation on the expert.

      represents the lower limits. Each of

      pl and bel functions are in one to one correspondence, they may be obtained from each other through linear transformation.

      Image Database

      Sound Database

      Feature Extraction

      Classifier

      Classifier

      Feature Extraction

      Query Image

      Image Evidence

      Sound Evidence

      Query Image

      Image Belief Function

      Expert

      Sound Belief Function

      Evidence Fusion

      Frame of discernment

      Decision Making

      Fig 4: proposed method to improving decision making.

    2. Evidence representing algorithm:

      , Ev

      Let there are probability (p), p 0,1of two evidences

      Then, evidences of the fused belief function

      m1:s | E

      EvIm , EvSo

      and a partition

      Ev

      Im1:n So1:m

      of

      are generated by means of the sub arbitraments related to

      1, ssuch as:

      EX | Y1:s ; m1:s pEvIm X | YEv

      i

      m , considered as probabilistic distribution over the set 2 .

      For each i

      Im1:n

      ; mEv

      1- Entries generation:

      Im1:n

      1 pEvSo X | YEv

      1:m

      , mEv

      So1:m

      EvIm and EvSo :

      Evidence representing algorithm:

      1, n, generates 2 according to the basic belief function

      considered as a probabilistic distribution over the set 2 .

      • In case empty set means impossible event. Otherwise event is focal element.

      ; m

      1:n 1:n

      • Generate 2 according to experts E |

      2- Conditional arbitrament:

    3. Evidence Fusion:

      The purpose of aggregation of information is to meaningfully summarize and simplify information

      of two basic probability assignment of m1 and m2 in the following manner:

      m1 Bm2 C

      rationally obtained from an independent source or multiple sources. Hence the evidence fusion algorithm can be done

      m12

      A BC A

      1 K

      where

      A

      (I)

      by algorithm 1. Combination rules are the special types of aggregation methods for data obtained from multiple

      m12

      0

      sources. From a set theoretic standpoint, the combination and disjunction of evidence is employed by AND (set intersection) and OR (set union) operation respectively. The combination rule is determined from the aggregation

      K m1 Bm2 C

      BC

      The normalization factor (1-K) has the effect of completely ignoring conflict and attributing any probability mass associated with conflict to the null set [24]. The

      imk Sok

      n Experts ex:ex1 , ex2 …, exn

      mev mev 0

      Im

      Im

      imn

      im1 im2

      Im

      So

      So

      son

      ,…, ev , Ev .bel, Ev . focal

      so1 so2

      So

      Visual evidence: Ev ev , ev

      combiation rule results which based on conjunctive pooled evidence can be measured by evidence measures.

      Algorithm 1: Evidence Fusion

      Data: Audio evidence: Ev ev , ev

      ,…, ev , Ev .bel, Ev . focal

      Results: Fusion of EvIm and EvIm : Fev

      for i 1:n do

      fusion

      for EvSo . focal in exi do for EvIm . focal in exi do

      K EvSo. focal EvIm . focal

      fusion. focal K

      fusion.bel EvSo.bel EvIm .bel

      Concatenate same focal in fusion

      Fev fusion

    4. Decision Making:

    A belief function has to be transformed into a probability function for decision making. The belief function that quantifies knowledge of the actual class of xis

    transformed into a pignistic probability distribution [25].

    Each mass of belief mA is divided equally between the

  4. EXPERIMENTAL AND RESULTS

    The most important and immediate application of this proposed method is helping decision makers decide most appropriate in given situation as shown in figure 5. Such decisions are based on information from set of

    A

    A

    hypothesis consisting of basic

    elements of

    for all

    . This leads to pignistic

    hypotheses c , c …, c , pieces of evidence that get from

    probability distribution of class w defined as [26]:

    1 2 m

    BetP (wk

    ) m( A),

    w AA

    k

    wk

    (II)

    two sources audio-visual evidences and decision maker opinion. Audio and visual sources, provided by the sound signal sensor and image processing specifying the sets of features and the probabilities conditional on the features

    and corresponding cases characteristics. Expert's opinion is provided by the case concerning his characteristics and preferences on the basis of which relevant utility functions are to be chosen.

    Input Experts No. n

    Input Image

    Input Sound

    Image Feature Extraction

    Sound Feature Extraction

    EvIm

    EvSo

    Sound Classifier

    Image Classifier

    FX So

    FX Im

    FX Im Databas

    FX So Databas

    Image Evidence Focal

    Sound Evidence Focal

    for i 1:n

    EvIm Belief Function

    EvSo Belief Function

    n n 1

    Y

    N

    Any

    Select decision (d)

    EvIm

    Any

    n n 1

    N

    Y

    EvSo

    Evidence Fusion Applied Eq. (I)

    d f Ev, R

    Decision Making by applied Eq. (II)

    Fig. 5: Decision making based on audio-visual evidences.

    For illustrates, the decisions can be determined to three precisely defined hypothesis represented by:

    c1 , c2 , c3

    The corresponding power set of is:

    depends on the point of view of decision-makers, where his opinion depending on the evidence probability that affect in the hypothesis.

    One of the decision makers mainly states that the

    hypothesis c1 or c2 are the reason for the problem. In

    2 ,c ,c ,c ,c , c ,c , c ,c , c ,c , c , c

    ev

    1 2 3 1 2 1 3

    2 3 1 2 3

    other words, the piece of evidence three Im

    might

    3

    Each case can be described by two major symptoms called

    audio So

    and visual Im

    evidences. The decision

    have occurred and resulted in the consequences c1

    or c2 . Whereas, the second decision maker was focused

    qualitative evidences-hypothesis is given in Table 1.

    on hypothesis c1 and c3 . The complete survey of the

    Table 1: qualitative evidences-hypothesis

    Evidence

    Degree of belief

    Hypothesis

    Decision makers

    1st

    evIm

    1

    Pev

    Im1

    c1

    evIm

    2

    Pev

    c2

    evIm

    3

    Im

    2

    P evIm

    c1 , c2

    evIm

    4

    3

    P evIm

    c1 , c2 , c3

    2nd

    evSo

    1

    4

    P evSo

    c1

    evSo

    2

    1

    P evSo

    c2

    evSo

    3

    2

    P evSo

    c1 , c3

    evSo

    4

    3

    P evSo

    4

    c1 , c2 , c3

    As shown from table 1, there are different evidences Degree of belief that effected on the hypothesis is

    1

    3

    4

    as evIm , evIm and evIm leads to a different set of

    consequences that contain same hypotheses as elements c1 . So, the possibility of decision making be very difficult because presence uncertainly area containing on degree of beliefs of evidences leads to which hypothesis is selected by the decision makers.

    determined for each evidence by experts and that is used by decision maker to take the appropriate decision as shown in table 2. Based on the degree of belief can be calculated belief and doubt, commonality, plausibility and disbelief measures that helping to define the uncertainty evidences area to decision-making as shown in table 3. From the lower boundary (belief) and higher boundary (plausibility) can fuses each of audio evidence with visual evidence to builds the fusion evidence as shown in table 4.

    Table 2: relation of degree of belief for decision maker by power set

    1st decision maker

    2

    2nd decision maker

    mev 0.2

    Im1

    c1

    mev 0.2

    So1

    mev 0.1

    Im2

    c2

    mev 0

    So2

    mev 0

    Im3

    c3

    mev 0.2

    So3

    mev 0.6

    Im4

    c1 c2

    mev 0

    So4

    mev 0

    Im5

    c1 c3

    mev 0.4

    So5

    mev 0

    Im6

    c2 c3

    mev 0

    So6

    mev 0.1

    Im7

    c1 c2 c3

    mev 0.2

    So7

    Table 3: belief and plausibility measures for evidences

    mev

    Im K

    belev

    Im K

    plev

    Im K

    2

    mev

    SoK

    belev

    SoK

    plev

    SoK

    0.2

    0.2

    0.9

    c1

    0.2

    0.2

    0.8

    0.1

    0.1

    0.8

    c2

    0

    0

    0.2

    0

    0

    0.1

    c3

    0.2

    0.2

    0.8

    0.6

    0.9

    1

    c1 c2

    0

    0.2

    0.8

    0

    0.2

    0.9

    c1 c3

    0.4

    0.8

    1

    0

    0.1

    0.8

    c2 c3

    0

    0.2

    0.8

    0.1

    1

    1

    c1 c2 c3

    0.2

    1

    1

    Table 4: the fusion table contains audio and visual evidences cut set.

    td>

    evIm

    1

    evIm

    2

    evIm

    3

    evIm

    4

    evIm

    5

    evIm

    6

    evIm

    7

    evSo

    1

    c1

    c1

    c1

    c1

    evSo

    2

    c2

    c2

    c2

    c2

    evSo

    3

    c3

    c3

    c3

    c3

    evSo

    4

    c1

    c2

    c1 c2

    c1

    c2

    c1 c2

    evSo

    5

    c1

    c3

    c1

    c1 c3

    c3

    c1 c3

    evSo

    6

    c2

    c3

    c2

    c3

    c2 c3

    c2 c3

    evSo

    7

    c1

    c2

    c3

    c1 c2

    c1 c3

    c2 c3

    Information Lake represents a significant problem and influential in the decision. So reducing the size of information and reduce the time of the decision distinguishes the proposed system where the negligence of

    ( mev 0, mev 0). In our example, columns Im3 , Im5 and Im6 , and rows So2 ,

    ImK SoK

    So and So are not applicable as shown in table 5:

    rows and columns relating to non focal elements 4 6

    Table 5: The reduced fusion evidences.

    evIm

    1

    evIm

    2

    evIm

    4

    evIm

    7

    evSo

    1

    c1

    c1

    c1

    evSo

    3

    c3

    evSo

    5

    c1

    c1

    c1 c3

    evSo

    7

    c1

    c2

    c1 c2

    After reduction of information dimensionality the effect of both audio and visual evidences on the hypothesis available to the decision-making is calculated. Table 6 is illustrate the formal procedure by applied the equation (I). For each

    hypothesis can calculate the effect of both audio and visual evidence in them. While the sum over all calculated combination in table 6 is identical with the denominator of equation (I) to calculate the evidence measures of combined hypotheses as shown in table 7.

    Table 6: effect o audio-visual evidences on decision hypothesis

    evIm

    1

    evIm

    2

    evIm

    4

    evIm

    7

    evSo

    1

    0.04

    0.12

    0.02

    evSo

    3

    0.02

    evSo

    5

    0.08

    0.24

    0.04

    evSo

    7

    0.04

    0.02

    0.12

    0.02

    Table 7: the evidence measures for fuses hypotheses.

    2

    m

    bel

    cmn

    pl

    0.0263

    1

    0.0263

    1

    c1 c2

    0.1579

    0.8947

    0.1842

    0.9737

    c1 c3

    0.0526

    0.7895

    0.0789

    0.9737

    c1

    0.7105

    0.7105

    0.9474

    0.9471

    c2

    0.0263

    0.0263

    0.2105

    0.2105

    c3

    0. 0263

    0.0263

    0.1053

    0.1053

    From the results shown in table 7, the decision maker A decision function represents an arbitrament process

    should avoid hypotheses two c2 and three c3 due to

    conditionally to the contributions of several independent

    the same low values of belief and c3

    takes roughly half

    evidences. It has been shown that evidence fusions based on the concept of decision functions have a straightforward

    the range of uncertainty region of audio and visual evidences and plausibility that c2 . Also, the first hypothesis c1 is excludes due to the wide range of audio and visual evidences uncertainty region 0.24. The

    combination between first and third hypotheses c1 c3 covers a smaller distance between

    lower boundary (belief) and higher boundary (plausibility) than first hypothesis c1 alone 0.18. So the best

    decision is combination first and second hypotheses c1 c2 , where it is smallest range of uncertainty 0.08 with the same (highest) plausibility

    as in case of the combination of first and third hypotheses c1 c3 .

  5. CONCLUSION

The decision-making process is difficult and very stressful as it is assumed in the decision-maker should be familiar with the diagnosis knowledge, available procedures, their consequences, and the probabilities of the associated outcomes. The proposed method presents a new method to decision making based on audio and visual evidences which add a new precisely and reliability flavor compared to probabilistic approaches. The fusion of evidences may be responsible for the serious changes of the decision properties.

sampling based implementation.

The proposed method can be used in decision making based on the evidence as audio-visual equipment in the diagnosis of defects in the field of engineering and diagnosis of diseases in the medical field.

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