Author(s): Gundalia Manoj j, Dholakia M. B.
Published in: International Journal of Engineering Research & Technology
License: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Volume/Issue: Vol.1 - Issue 6 (August- 2012)
Temperature Time Series data are used as major input in many rainfall-runoff models. Temperature prediction is a temporal and time series based process and involve when insufficient data availability. Temperature time series often consist of periodic patterns, i.e. patterns that repeatedly occur in defined periods over time, Holt Winters method is suitable to predict such meteorological process. Microsoft Excel is user friendly and most popular spread sheet program. In this paper, in order to predict maximum and minimum daily temperature time series of Junagadh region with Holt Winters method using excel spread sheet is proposed. The performance of the method is measured by three standard error measures MSE, MAPE and MAD which are found well within the acceptable limits. Results shows the maximum temperature time series exhibit less fluctuation and gave better results as compared to minimum temperature time series.
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